Let’s not beat around the bush…
Gold is on an historic run.
It gained 65% in 2025.
Keep in mind, that’s after rising 27.4% in 2024, as well as another 13% in 2023.
And it continues to chug higher today.
But this isn’t something that’s caught us off guard.
Last year, Forecasts & Strategies predicted gold would hit $5,000.
And on January 26, 2026, the milestone was breached.
Over the past year, we’ve urged investors to load up every time prices were cheap… because we could see what was coming on the horizon.
And in the months since that high water mark was set, Goldman Sachs (GS) raised its year-end gold price target from $4,900 to $5,400 per ounce.
Standard Chartered (SCBFY) has its eyes set on $5,375.
Meanwhile, over at Deutsche Bank (DB) the Midas metal was given a price target of $6,000.
And that’s right in line with our own Jim Woods, who sees gold touching $6,000 in a matter of months.
Now, you can scoff.
Price predictions can easily be derailed by geopolitics and natural disasters.
But the reality is, there are investors who still don’t get gold’s potential…
They still don’t understand that today’s prices are a welcome discount…
And because of that they’ll miss what’s right under their noses…
A repeating rhythm that’s driven metals markets for decades.
At this very moment, it’s signaling that one of the world’s most precious of precious metals is due for a glittering year of returns…
Gold Cracked $5,000… But Hasn’t Seen Its Biggest Move Yet
If you’ve followed my essays for any period of time, you know cycles and trends are the crux of my investment philosophy.
There are earnings patterns…
Short-term seasonal ones…
Annual cycles…
And quadrennial trends.
These are four-year cycles that repeat over and over again.
Most famously, these include Bitcoin’s reward-halving and the U.S. presidential cycle for stocks.
Now, what often gets overlooked is the predictable patterns we see in precious metals.
Every year, gold sees its highest demand at the same time like clockwork: Diwali… Indian wedding season… Christmas… Chinese New Year.
That multi-month stretch delivers golden gains on the regular.
But there’s a larger cycle at play as well.
And it’s coming to a head in 2026.
You see, gold adheres to its own quadrennial trend – a four-year rhythm few investors are savvy enough to hear.
But fortunately, I’m here to help out and help you understand this little talked-about trend…
The Four-Year Midterm Twist
Most of us know that precious metals tend to move opposite of equities.
It’s why we diversify our portfolios…
We want assets that will do well in both bear markets and bulls.
Well, while stocks are headed for one of their shakiest years, gold on the other hand, is quietly positioning itself for one of its strongest.
And rest assured, this isn’t guesswork.
This isn’t the musing of some optimistic gold bug.
This is a cold, hard fact.
You see, since 1969, gold’s average return across the election cycle tells an unmistakable story…
Gold’s Four Year Cycle
In presidential election years, gold barely moves.
It’s averaging a gain of just 3.47%.
And in post-election years, the Midas metal has clocked a modest 5.11% return.
In primary election years, it fares much better – ticking higher roughly 9.68%.
But look what happens during midterms…
That’s the gold standard – literally.
The barbarous relic has surged an average of 12.59%!
That’s right… when stocks tend to gasp for air, gold often takes flight.
Well, wouldn’t you know it, 2026 just happens to be another midterm year.
And history suggests it could also be another gold rush… if you have the nerve to listen to the cycle rather than the noise.
Why Smart Investors Are Loading Up on Gold
In 2002, gold surged 23.96% as Republicans picked up seats in the House and the Senate.
In 2006, the precious metal roared 23.92% higher.
And in 2010, the Midas metal delivered again, rocketing more than 27.7%.
Now, in the last three midterms, gold has been stuck in neutral.
But that trend appears to be broken.
Gold has already soared double digits in 2026.
As always, geopolitical tensions… supply bottlenecks… and central bank buying can shape short-term moves.
But those are the stories for analysts to argue about on your favorite news network.
All the while, the metal’s four-year cycle is the undercurrent – the structure beneath the noise.
Ignore it, and you miss the tide while watching the golden waves lap by.
But follow it, and you could profit from the same pattern that’s quietly compounded gains for five decades.
Good investing,
Matthew Carr
Editor, Eye on the Market
P.S. Everyone’s chasing yesterday’s headlines. But at Tipping Point Profits Matthew is always tracking the trigger behind tomorrow’s surges. And these already flashing… but only for those watching the right clock. Tap here to see what Wall Street’s about to miss.
